|
Here is my take on this
corporate crisis in America
and it is much different from the crap being spewed on TV.
Here is what is being
reported to you:
1.
Executives are getting rich at the expense of
employees and shareholders.
2.
Legislators and politicians are appalled by
executive behavior.
3.
The stock market is declining because of
disbelief in corporate
America
by foreign investors.
My conclusion:
1.
Executives make stupid mistakes and some don’t
know their head from their ass.
Executives always have, always will.
2.
Executives that cheat and defraud investors
should serve jail time, pay fines, lose $$$’s earned and be
banned from future corporate opportunities.
3.
At the end of the day WorldCom, Enron and other
recent bankruptcies would have laid people off no matter what.
Their true returns
on capital and poor profit outlook would have been revealed,
restructuring would have occurred, employees would have lost
jobs, employees would have lost money in their 401k plans but,
at the end of the day…..DRUMROLL PLEASE
4.
The corporate sleazebags that made millions by
fraudulent manners wouldn’t have been able to keep their
jobs, they wouldn’t have made millions of dollars through
selling their stock at over inflated prices and wouldn’t
have caused a huge concern about how effective capitalism is.
P.S.
Some jobs would have been saved because the solvency of
these companies wouldn’t have become an issue.
Some 401k plans might have been saved because employees
could have sold based on poor EPS results from the company.
Finally, investors and banks wouldn’t have given $$$
to companies that were performing so poorly and had such high
levels of debt (exception maybe is global crossing because
that was just greed on everyone’s part.)
Here is the longer-version.......the supporting facts.....
Here is the way I see it.
Bear with me and read the two pages.
You have to read it all to truly understand my view.
1.
Executives
shouldn’t be allowed to keep a dime they made when they
committed fraudulent acts.
They should get jail time too.
If many of these individuals aren’t prosecuted soon
people will start to raise hell.
Frankly, I wouldn’t be surprised if someone tried to
take a shot at Enron’s Andrew Fastow and Jeff Skilling or
WorldCom’s Scott Sullivan and his controller.
2.
Jail time
better happen: Most
of the people I talk to, even senior executives, are appalled
at the behavior they are seeing.
While many executives will admit to using GAAP to bend
the numbers a bit (legally of course) they are appalled at the
blatant abuse committed by these executives.
If these executives are able to keep their $$$ and get
five years of jail time it doesn’t make the penalty large
enough. Going to
jail for 5 years, only to come out with $500 million in the
bank accounts, isn’t what most Americans regard as
punishment.
3.
Executives
should be barred from future positions in public companies:
This is being proposed by politicians everywhere.
Nothing for me to add.
4.
Executives
are getting paid a lot.
The gap between the top and the bottom in the corporate
ladder has widened substantially in the past 10 years.
It is primarily due to the apathy of shareholders and
due to a widening value being placed on education.
a.
As long as the stock market was generating huge
investment returns investors looked the other way as salaries
and stock option grants got larger and larger.
Now that things have turned they realize how much they
are paying these people to run their companies into the ground
and they don’t like it.
b.
Repricing existing stock options at the bottom
is wrong because the stock options are supposed to tie
management’s compensation to shareholder wealth.
In this case the shareholders get screwed as stock
prices fall and the executives don’t lose anything because
their options get repriced at lower prices.
c.
Workers at the bottom can be easily replaced
because there is a larger supply of poorly trained /
uneducated workers. The
percentage of Americans with college degrees is only 25%-30%.
Despite all the hoopla about getting an education most
don’t have it or are too lazy to get one.
Not getting a college education is equivalent to
declaring a lifetime of subpar earnings.
d.
The requirements to become a top level executive
are increasingly rising. Nowadays
companies increasingly give the jobs to those with MBAs and
those who execute business plans.
Additionally, more people have MBAs than ever.
It is very important to recognize that all MBA degrees
aren’t equivalent. I
know this because I know many people that have them, what they
were taught in their programs and their aptitudes.
5.
Had the executives told the truth about
corporate earnings what would have happened instead?
a.
Banks and investors wouldn’t have given these
companies additional $$$.
Less $$$ would have been lost by banks and investors.
b.
Some employees would have been eliminated
EARLIER due to poor profits and the necessary restructuring.
Since most of these companies took on additional debt
during their financial shenanigans and already had massive
debt levels the result of delaying the inevitable is that the
pain is that much greater.
More workers lose their jobs because the companies’
solvency becomes an issue.
Had the executives fessed up earlier they would have
been fired, profits would have already shown their truly weak
nature and bankruptcy still might have been an issue for some
of these companies.
c.
Stock prices would have started dropping earlier
because the true numbers would have been revealed.
Investors still would have lost money.
They just wouldn’t be so “shocked” about it.
The key element here is that they would have at least
known that results were poor and sold their shares while the
stock was going down rather than seeing the stock go down and
then get wiped out in a month time span when the truth finally
came out.
6. Auditing
and Consulting Should be Broken up - I don't care what anyone
tells me. There is a HUGE potential conflict of
interests when a firm provides auditing, tax advice and
professional management services to a client. I can see
it now. Mr. Partner to another partner. Is
he "business friendly." Will he generate fees
for the partnership? To say that such things
don't happen is ludicrous and is an example of capitalism gone
too far. If investors don't have faith in the public
numbers than they will demand higher returns on their
money. Or another aspect can be looked at. If
investors don't have faith in the public financial statements
of corporations they will demand a higher risk premium.
This will result in cash flows being valued differently.
Higher risk premiums = lower stock prices in a discounted cash
flow model.
Legal
Disclaimer:
BetterBizBooks.com
is founded and operated by
Dan Ross and is an personal website to provide independent and
public research. This report is provided as a public service.
All information provided must be understood as opinion only and
is not investment advice. All statements and expressions are the
opinion of BetterBizBooks.com
and are not meant to be a
solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any form of
investment vehicle. Any opinion made by BetterBizBooks.com
is based on raw data and
reports that have been presented by independent government
agencies, private industry associations and other sources.
BetterBizBooks.com
makes no representation or
warranty as to the accuracy of the information provided. The
information provided should only be used as a research tool.
Reading of this document constitutes your acceptance of
these terms and conditions.
|